Mirovα, Creating Sustainable Value - September 2026

Published on 16/09/2026

Key events - September 2026

Middle East: hopes for de-escalation at the start of the month have given way to further strikes. Brent crude rose back above $90 and European gas prices rose by nearly 20% over the month. 

Markets: corporate earnings supported equities despite rising interest rates. The S&P 500 is up by around 2.5%, compared with 0.5% for the Stoxx 600. The rebound in European software and technology stocks helped to broaden the lead beyond US semiconductors. 

Interest rates: long-term rates rose, against a backdrop of high financing needs and increased vigilance by central banks in the face of inflation

Number of the month

5.31 %
30-year US Treasury Bond yield, its highest level since 2007
Source: Bloomberg, august 2026

Macro outlook

  • Energy: if energy prices continue to rise, new inflationary pressures will emerge, complicating the task facing central bankers. 
  • United States: August’s job creation figures confirm the economy’s resilience. Inflation is becoming a key factor in the Fed’s next decision.
  • Eurozone: the recovery in economic activity, particularly in Germany, is being confirmed. However, rising gas prices could undermine the recovery whilst prompting the ECB to tighten monetary policy further.
  • China: Technology exports continue to underpin economic activity, whilst domestic demand is disappointing. More substantial government support is still expected.
     
Cartoon depicting two economic policymakers drawing a decline in U.S. interest rates on a chart, one using an eraser and the other a pencil.

The Long View

Do we still need pharmaceutical companies now that we have AI?

• What AI can already do 
• Big Pharma vs Big Tech: who will sell the medicine of the future? 
• Laboratories enter a new era

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